Predictions from early 2025 that held up

  • January 2025

    M365 Copilot’s forced rollout smelled like panic

    “The forced Copilot rollout is not a sign of MS strategy working out as planned. The lack of meaningful AI revenue is forcing companies to resort to ever more desperate means.”

    October 2025: Internal numbers and reporting painted the same picture: huge marketing push, modest paid adoption, and a growing gap between the AI story and what customers actually use day to day.

  • January 2025

    “Year of the agents” was never going to be a year

    When Microsoft leaders talked about everyone having “teams of agents” by the end of 2025, I wrote that this would be a long, messy journey that takes years.

    Reality check: Agent frameworks appeared everywhere, but real-world usage stayed niche and experimental. Most organisations are still trying to fix their first AI assistants, not unleash 50 autonomous agents.

  • May 2025

    The “burning platform” playbook returns

    I drew parallels between Nokia’s 2011 “burning platform” moment and Microsoft’s habit of declaring products legacy before clear replacements exist—for customers, not just for slides.

    Pattern confirmed: Project for the Web retired, Power Automate futures questioned, and a stream of “reimagined for AI” announcements that leave architects and partners to figure out the migration plan on their own.

Concrete insight for people who actually build on this stuff

  • 1

    Power Platform reality checks

    I read the release plans, Ignite keynotes and roadmap notes, then compare them with what actually lands in real tenants. You get the “what this really means for your solutions” version, not just the marketing bullets.

  • 2

    Licensing without the sales gloss

    Per app vs. per user, capacity, Dataverse storage, AI messages, multiplexing: the complexity is the business model. I break it down so you can price projects, defend architecture choices, and avoid “oh, we didn’t see that SKU” moments.

  • 3

    AI & agents with a bullshit filter

    I like AI, but I also like numbers. Expect sober takes on Copilot, Agent 365, and “agentic” everything: what’s genuinely useful for low-code teams, what’s immature, and what will quietly disappear from the docs in 12 months.

  • 4

    Tools for citizen developers and architects

    I write for the people who live between business and IT: solution architects, Power Platform leads, and citizen devs who somehow became platform owners. Expect frameworks, mental models, and arguments you can reuse with your own stakeholders.

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